Jalen Hurts and Trey Lance getting critical Vegas love for MVP

The hype prepare for the 2022 NFL season hasn’t simply left the station, it leapt off the tracks, burst into the stratosphere, and began singing a group of Tupac’s biggest hits.

Individuals are going loopy with a few of these predictions! I imply who of their proper minds is selecting the Lions and Jets to make the playoffs? Delusional, I inform you!

However nothing shows the delusion befallen many NFL followers although fairly just like the MVP betting developments.

After watching Aaron Rodgers win back-to-back MVP awards, and seeing Patrick Mahomes dazzle on our flatscreens each Sunday (or Thursday or Monday), and peeping Josh Allen and Justin Herbert taking monumental leaps towards superstardom, you’d suppose NFL followers would pounce on the alternative to guess on considered one of them to win the MVP award subsequent season. Nope! Not even shut.

In keeping with OddsChecker US, the individual receiving probably the most bets for NFL MVP in 2022 isn’t even within the top-10 by way of odds. Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts has obtained 25.9 p.c of all bets for NFL MVP over the past 30 days. He has +4000 — or 40-to-1 — odds of taking residence the {hardware}. That’s nearly twice as many bets as the following closest competitor, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow.

Who do you suppose is third on this checklist? I assure you’ll be able to’t guess it. Did you guess Matt Ryan? Bullshit. No likelihood you referred to as that. He’s obtained 11.1 p.c of votes at +8000 odds. Nevertheless, each Hurts’ and Ryan’s appearances on this checklist pale compared to who’s receiving the fourth-most votes for MVP… San Francisco’s Trey Lance! HUH?! He’s receiving 7.4 p.c of all bets. That’s greater than Rodgers and Mahomes mixed, and equal to Allen and Herbert mixed (each are receiving 3.7 p.c of bets proper now)!

I do know the child is gifted and Kyle Shanahan traded three first-round picks to get him, in order that they will need to have a variety of religion in him, however NFL MVP? Positive, Patrick Mahomes took residence the award a 12 months after sitting behind Alex Smith, however that was an anomaly. We are able to’t count on Lance to expertise the identical kind of success, can we? That’s a tall order for anybody irrespective of how gifted, and whereas second-year QBs tend to exceed expectations, solely two received the MVP after beginning lower than 5 video games their rookie season — Mahomes and Kurt Warner. Are we actually able to put Lance on that degree after finishing simply 57.7 p.c of his passes final 12 months, all whereas Jimmy Garoppolo remains to be on the 49ers’ roster? I’m not prepared for that. Props to everybody with the heart to make a name like that, however not me.

Lance has obtained so many bets within the month of Might, that after opening at 200-to-1 odds to win the MVP, Caesars’ Sportsbook has since dropped his odds to 60-to-1, but folks nonetheless hold betting on this man! Cease! Vegas is actually simply taking cash from you at this level. They aren’t swapping the chances as a result of they took a glance again at Lance’s movie tape and thought “You already know what? He’s received that dawg in him!” They’re solely doing this as a result of so many individuals are placing cash on him that, by reducing his odds to 60-to-1, folks shall be extra inclined to place more cash on him as a result of 60-to-1 doesn’t have practically the identical payout as 200-to-1 does.

I’m all for lengthy photographs on the subject of betting. I’ve been identified to place cash on loopy eight-game parlays only for the hell of it, so in case you put a bit of change on Lance at 200-to-1 odds, I respect it. Go for broke or don’t go in any respect, am I proper? Nevertheless, even at these lowered odds, Lance remains to be seeing cash poured in from in all places, whereas revered veterans like former MVP Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, and Matthew Stafford are seeing little if any love from bettors. Every of them has a payout of higher than 10-to-1 and we all know for a indisputable fact that they are going to be their staff’s starters Week 1. I do know the presumption is that Garoppolo shall be passed by the beginning of the season, however till that day comes, and till the entire Deebo Samuel state of affairs is discovered, claiming Lance as subsequent 12 months’s MVP looks as if a little bit of a attain.